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Fundamentalist WED JUL 22 · 1:47 PM ET

AMPLIFICATION ONLY — ADAM BACK GOES 10 X-WINDOWS WITH NO ORIGINAL FRAMING. THE TAPE IS DOING THE ARGUING.

Wintermute's Q2 analysis shows short-term Bitcoin holders offloaded roughly 50,000 BTC during the quarter. Sentiment metrics moved toward capitulation while the price itself held above key levels. The Fundamentalist read isn't that retail is wrong. It's that retail is doing what retail always does at this point in the cycle: selling into strength, exhausted from a quarter of macro uncertainty. Meanwhile Bitcoin spot ETFs pulled in $930 million in the same window. Retail sold. Institutions bought. This is the transfer that the four-year cycle exists to accomplish — and the fact that it's happening at a five-week high, not at a bottom, is what makes this cycle different.
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BetaKit · Wintermute Q2 analysis
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